According to @jchervinsky, prohibiting gambling has been as ineffective as alcohol prohibition, signaling persistent market demand that will create supply even under restrictions, source: @jchervinsky on X dated Dec 4, 2025. According to @jchervinsky, the key policy choice is whether these markets operate underground or openly, a framing traders can use to assess regulatory risk and liquidity persistence across crypto gambling and prediction markets, source: @jchervinsky on X dated Dec 4, 2025.

According to @cas_abbe, APRO Oracle (APRO) is described as the first AI-enhanced crypto oracle built to bridge the Web2–Web3 data gap and serve RWA, AI, and prediction-market ecosystems, highlighting its intended role in market data delivery. source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 4, 2025 The post underscores that oracles are critical infrastructure for the crypto market and presents APRO Oracle as addressing that need within those verticals. source: @cas_abbe on X, Dec 4, 2025

According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi and CNN announced a partnership under which CNN will integrate Kalshi prediction markets into its news coverage. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1996246195904360544. Kalshi’s official X account also posted the announcement, confirming CNN’s integration of Kalshi prediction markets into its news content. Source: Kalshi on X https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1996233186251075862. The integration places Kalshi market-implied probabilities directly alongside mainstream news flow that traders monitor for decision-making. Source: @StockMKTNewz on X https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1996246195904360544; Kalshi on X https://x.com/Kalshi/status/1996233186251075862.

According to @jessepollak, he publicly highlighted the theme of prediction markets on Base with the statement 'Prediction Markets on Base' in an X post on Dec 3, 2025 (source: X/@jessepollak, Dec 3, 2025). The post did not include any launch details, timelines, protocols, token plans, or integrations related to prediction markets on Base (source: X/@jessepollak, Dec 3, 2025). The post includes a link to an X status by @upshot_cards but provides no additional specifics within the cited text here (source: X/@jessepollak, Dec 3, 2025). For traders, this represents a public mention without confirmed catalysts; positioning should be contingent on subsequent official announcements or technical updates from Base-aligned sources (source: X/@jessepollak, Dec 3, 2025).

According to the source, crypto prediction platform Polymarket has officially begun rolling out its US app. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025. The announcement does not specify supported states, launch timeline, product features, or compliance details for US users. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025. No token information, trading volume metrics, or liquidity data are included in the notice, leaving traders without quantifiable catalysts from this announcement alone. Source: X post referenced in the user-provided content dated Dec 3, 2025.

According to @cz_binance, self-custody access to prediction markets is available via Trust Wallet, referencing an official @TrustWallet post on X shared on Dec 2, 2025. source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 2, 2025; source: @TrustWallet on X, Dec 2, 2025. For traders, the mention places attention on monitoring TWT and BNB liquidity, order flow, and on-chain activity for any follow-through in user engagement rather than presuming impact. source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 2, 2025. No specific product specifications, networks, or usage metrics were disclosed in the post, so positioning should wait for details in the linked @TrustWallet status or subsequent official updates. source: @cz_binance on X, Dec 2, 2025; source: @TrustWallet on X, Dec 2, 2025.

According to @StockMKTNewz, citing the New York Times, Kalshi has reportedly raised $1 billion at an $11 billion valuation (source: New York Times via @StockMKTNewz). Based on those figures, the raise equals roughly 9.1% of the stated valuation, highlighting the scale of the transaction for market participants tracking event-contract venues (source: New York Times via @StockMKTNewz). Kalshi operates a CFTC-regulated event-contracts exchange, placing the funding squarely within the prediction-markets sector that traders monitor for liquidity and product expansion signals (source: Kalshi official disclosures; U.S. CFTC). The author’s post did not provide investor names, timeline, or deal terms beyond the headline figures (source: @StockMKTNewz).

According to the source, Trust Wallet launched the first natively integrated in-wallet prediction markets in partnership with Myriad Markets, enabling users to access and trade prediction markets directly inside the Trust Wallet app; source: public X announcement dated Dec 2, 2025. Trust Wallet CEO Eowyn Chen said prediction markets are a new way of combining social expression with digital footprint and value, highlighting the product vision behind the integration; source: quoted remarks in the same X post. The launch outline covered integration specifics, user experience, a prediction market roadmap, the sector’s evolution, routes to mainstream adoption, and positioning in volatile markets, indicating near-term feature priorities for traders; source: topic timestamps listed in the X post.

According to the source, Myriad has partnered with Trust Wallet to launch what is described as the first in-wallet prediction markets, enabling prediction market creation and participation directly from the Trust Wallet interface (source: the provided tweet dated 2025-12-02). The announcement indicates the feature will launch within Trust Wallet, removing the need to connect to external dApps for prediction market access and aligning prediction market trading with native wallet execution flows (source: the provided tweet dated 2025-12-02).

According to @Nick_van_Eck, prediction markets have siphoned attention from altcoins this cycle, with non-crypto friends discussing Kalshi and Polymarket rather than alts, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. He frames prediction markets and perpetual DEXs as the current primetime conduits for speculation, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. He asks what other net-new or newly mainstream venues are serving as speculation channels this cycle, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025. For trading strategy, this observation points to monitoring prediction markets and perp DEXs for retail-driven flow over traditional altcoin narratives this cycle, source: @Nick_van_Eck on X, Dec 2, 2025.

According to the source, Kalshi is now offering on-chain event contracts on the Solana (SOL) blockchain, enabling users to place predictions directly on-chain as of Monday, December 2, 2025 (source: Kalshi announcement, Dec 2, 2025). For traders, this adds access to event contracts within the Solana ecosystem, allowing positions to be created and managed natively on-chain (source: Kalshi announcement, Dec 2, 2025). Market participants should monitor new contract listings and on-chain activity around launch to assess liquidity formation and execution conditions on Solana (source: Kalshi announcement, Dec 2, 2025).

According to the source, Kalshi is seeking court protection from state regulators while it appeals an adverse ruling in Nevada, aiming to limit enforcement actions during the appellate process. Source: https://t.co/RWrCZ3PrGF The firm’s request is intended to preserve continuity in event-contract trading while the appeal is pending, reducing the risk of operational disruption from state-level actions. Source: https://t.co/RWrCZ3PrGF Kalshi operates as a CFTC-designated contract market, which underscores the federal-versus-state jurisdiction issues that can affect listings and market access for event contracts. Source: https://www.cftc.gov/IndustryOversight/MarketPlatforms/DesignatedContractMarkets/index.htm Regulatory sensitivity around event markets has previously led to market interventions, as illustrated by the CFTC’s action against unregistered prediction markets, a backdrop traders should consider when assessing liquidity and listing risk. Source: https://www.cftc.gov/PressRoom/PressReleases/8488-22

According to the source, CNBC reports that Kalshi has launched tokenized event bets on the Solana (SOL) blockchain. Solana Foundation documentation states that SOL is required for transaction fees on Solana, so any on-chain event contracts on Solana consume SOL for gas, a detail traders track for on-chain activity analysis.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Kalshi now lets its bettors buy and sell tokenized versions of their wagers on the Solana (SOL) blockchain, enabling on-chain trading of prediction contracts (source: @StockMKTNewz citing CNBC). The initiative is aimed at courting crypto traders by bringing Kalshi prediction market exposure directly to Solana for tradability (source: @StockMKTNewz citing CNBC).

According to @AggrNews, CNBC reports that Kalshi has launched tokenized event contracts on the Solana blockchain, bringing on-chain access to event-linked instruments for traders (source: @AggrNews; CNBC). The post relays CNBC’s report and does not provide additional specifications such as product scope, venues, or volumes beyond the Solana deployment detail (source: @AggrNews; CNBC).

According to @StockMKTNewz, Robinhood (HOOD) scheduled an event titled Robinhood Presents: YES/NO for December 16 at 9 PM ET. (source: @StockMKTNewz) According to @StockMKTNewz, Chairman and CEO Vlad Tenev will unveil new AI innovations and prediction markets features at the event. (source: @StockMKTNewz) According to @StockMKTNewz, the disclosed date and time provide a defined calendar marker for traders tracking HOOD and developments in prediction markets tooling. (source: @StockMKTNewz)

According to @WatcherGuru, Polymarket shows a 63% market-implied probability that President Trump would select Kevin Hassett to replace Jerome Powell as Federal Reserve Chair as of December 1, 2025, based on the referenced prediction market contract pricing (source: Watcher.Guru; Polymarket). The post specifies odds from a prediction market rather than an official appointment, indicating traders can monitor the Polymarket contract directly for real-time probability changes to inform positioning and risk management around potential Fed leadership headlines (source: Watcher.Guru; Polymarket).

According to @GracyBitget, there is a clear difference between building a startup and chasing a narrative, with 98% of L1/L2, GameFi, and NFT projects described as a dead end this cycle. source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 1, 2025. For heavily funded teams with large headcount, the post advises targeting capital-intensive moats: Perp DEX, prediction markets, and core AI. source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 1, 2025. For lean teams, it recommends dominating a niche via vertical AI, regional AI trading, and distribution for major protocols or CEXs. source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 1, 2025. The post urges builders to stop chasing narratives and to focus execution within these specified sectors for the current cycle. source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 1, 2025.

According to @GracyBitget, narrative-only bets like L1, L2, SocialFi, GameFi, and NFTs are no longer meaningful targets, while high-ceiling areas for well-funded teams include perp DEX, prediction markets, crypto payments, and foundational AI innovation, which directly informs sector-focused trading and venture screening strategies, source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 1, 2025. For lean startups, she highlights vertical AI and localized trading distribution, such as exchange or prediction-market channels, as practical paths, guiding traders toward monitoring deal flow and product launches across these niches, source: @GracyBitget on X, Dec 1, 2025.

According to the source, Shayne Coplan stated that "Polymarket is the most accurate thing we have as mankind right now" in an X post dated Dec 1, 2025, underscoring strong confidence in prediction market accuracy (source: X post, Dec 1, 2025). For trading, academic evidence shows prediction markets efficiently aggregate dispersed information, so incorporating Polymarket odds as probability inputs can inform position sizing, hedging, and volatility strategies in crypto markets such as BTC and ETH without implying direction (source: Wolfers and Zitzewitz, Journal of Economic Perspectives, 2004).